Wednesday, 25 May 2011

SPG Supplement: Is Farmland A Smart Hedge Against Inflation?

This piece originally appeared in the Strategic Planning Group, as a Supplement exclusively for Members. It has been edited for content.
So recently, the New York Observer ran one of its snooty, fawning pieces about hedgies in New York.

“So you’ll give me 2% of your money up front,
then 20% of any winnings,
plus you’ll eat all the losses on my bad bets:
Isn’t that a great deal I’m giving you?” 
Hedgies—hedge fund drones, essentially used car salesmen dolled up in Paul Stewart suits—are morons, for the most part; though they do display a certain rat-like cunning of the low-IQ variety.

That sharp-toothed rodent cunning was on display in the Observer story: These hedgies were boasting about buying farmland left and right, as a hedge against inflation.

So: Is farmland worth buying as a hedge against inflation?

This is a reasonable question.

Bottom line, the answer is: No.

The reason, however, is worth examining in some detail, because insofar as farmland is concerned, there would be a period of time when it is a clever investment, and then a point after which it would be a terrible investment. And as with everything in life, the dividing line between the terribly clever and the terribly stupid is as smeared and undefined as roadkill on an Interstate.

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